stok Business
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Interactive public previewKifaru Foods is synthetic sample data. No customer records are loaded and nothing you do here is saved.
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Kifaru Foods · Isolated sample workspace

Good morning. Here’s what demand is telling you.

This page uses deterministic sample history. It is never mixed with a connected organization.

Last 30 daysView forecast
Forecast reliability labels are active

Every prediction remains tied to its exact product, location and horizon. Scores above 50% are marked reliable; weaker estimates stay visible with a warning.

WAPE-derived score
Observed sales
KES 4.38MLast 30 sample days
Inventory value
KES 7.31M42,814 sample units
Reliable forecast scopes
7Product × location
Directional scopes
1Visible with a warning
Demand pulse

Actual vs predicted units

ActualForecast
Seven-day baseline passed backtestingseasonal-naive-7 was selected using the lowest validation WAPE.
100% · Strong historical match
What needs attention

Signals worth acting on

See all
Fresh milk 500mlNairobi East
Reliable estimateWeekly pattern validated
100%
White bread 400gKisumu Central
Reliable estimateRecurring weekday pattern
100%
Mango yoghurt 250mlMombasa Dispatch
Demand baseline readyWaste risk still needs expiry data
100%
Orange juice 1LKisumu Central
Directional estimateLow historical match; shown with a warning
39%
Regional demand

Where demand is strongest

Sample data
01
NairobiDairy
+14%
02
MombasaBeverages
+9%
03
KisumuBakery
+6%
04
NakuruStaples
-2%
Demand context

Signals Stok can learn from

Calendar patternsDay, week, month, season and payday effects
WeatherTemperature, rainfall and unusual weather shifts
Price & promotionsDiscounts, price changes and campaign periods
Supply constraintsStock-outs, expiry, lead times and delivery gaps
Data readiness

What will make your forecasts smarter

Open readiness center
Sales timestampCritical
100%Connected
Product + quantityCritical
100%Connected
Branch / dispatch regionHigh
82%Improve
Inventory snapshotsHigh
69%Improve
Expiry / batch datesHigh
44%Collect
Promotions / price changesMedium
31%Collect
Weather contextMedium
0%Available later
Local holidays / eventsMedium
0%Available later
Why the gate matters

Useful certainty, not decorative AI

Milk 500ml · Nairobi East · weekly409 units / 7 days
100% · Strong historical match
Orange juice 1L · Kisumu Central · dailyVisible directional estimate
39% · Low historical match

The lower-scoring estimate stays visible, clearly marked for caution, so the business can compare it with actual sales while collecting better history.